AI & ML
Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust training
arXiv stat.ML0 views
arXiv:2605.28516v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Simulation-based inference with neural posterior estimation (NPE) often yields overconfident and unreliable posteriors under limited simulation budgets. To address this, we propose DRO-NPE, a distributionally robust approach that replaces the standard NPE objective with a worst-case loss over a Wasserstein ambiguity set. We introduce KL-based metrics for miscoverage and miscalibration, and use these to show that the DRO-NPE objective controls overfitting and reduces posterior overconfidence. Our method is tractable, parallelisable, and readily integrates with standard normalising flows. Across benchmark SBI tasks, DRO-NPE consistently improves coverage and calibration, while narrowing the gap between empirical and population NPE loss, leading to more reliable inference in low-simulation regimes.
Source:https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.28516PreviousA Rigorous, Tractable Measure of Model ComplexityNextDiffusion Models Observe Only Gradients: A Geometric Perspective on Score Matching Errors
Related posts

Designing a Form That Asks for Birth Date, Time and Place (No Code, Just the Tricky Parts)
0dev.to UX
메타 Quest 2 OS 업데이트 종료, 약시 훈련 루틴에는 무슨 일이 생기나
0dev.to News
How to Put a Logo in a QR Code (and Make Sure It Still Scans)
0dev.to Design
Why Luxury Fine Jewelry Brands Are Ditching Physical Video Shoots for 3D CAD Commercials in 2026
0dev.to Design

How AI Is Changing Healthcare in 2026 - And Why Developers Should Pay Attention
0dev.to Productivity

When Should Singapore Healthcare Enterprises Hire AI Developers?
0dev.to Productivity